You may catch the virus in a month from now, or a year or 2, but you will catch it.
We have finally have a explanation to the Coronoaviruses in layman's terms.
It seems we should mention that Professor Ian Mackay infectious diseases expert from Queensland university was the one who said that everyone will catch it at some point and that the other advice is from department of health.
The virus transmits one metre by aerosol so stay at least 2 or 3 metres from people who cough.
Also I did not say to go bush as washing hands is easier and you would just catch the virus on your return anyway.
Well known cattleman and Doctor.
Dr Rob Scanlan, M.B.,B.S. (Qld)
Coronoaviruses cause common colds as well as SARS and MERS. Both SARS and MERS were able to be contained and eliminated soon after they first emerged.
This new coronavirus has escaped from containment and will now infect every person on earth at some point.
The reason why it cannot be contained is mostly because it has an incubation of around a week or so, which is double that of influenza, and because people are able to infect others during this time of incubation, when they are unaware of being sick.
The illness is pretty much the same as the flu, with sore throat, cough, sore muscles all over, sweats and chills, and also some diarrhoea, lasting 2 to 6 weeks.
This virus first appeared in Wuhan City in China, near a Chinese disease control research centre which is the only such centre in China conducting studies on coronaviruses, and using lab animals that included bats.
Official reports have stated that it first appeared in a seafood market 280 metres down the street, but this is incorrect, since the first cases had not been to that market, and there were no bats withing hundreds of kilometres from the market, except for the ones in that lab. It is likely that the virus escaped in a worker accidentally infected, or even from a worker who secretly sold some of the animals from the lab to outsiders.
At this point it appears that around one in a hundred people of good health are dying after contracting the virus, but one in ten die if they are diabetic or over 80, have lung or heart disease and so on. These numbers are hard to confirm at this point.
There is no vaccine to prevent COVID-19.
There is no drug to cure it. Vaccines are being researched and have been said to be likely to be available by mid-year or later, however there is no vaccine for HIV or the common cold, so I have my doubts. Tamiflu, the anti-flu drug, and ritonavir, the HIV drug, have been trialled and had some success reported in shortening the disease.
You can help avoid getting the virus by either going bush all year until it has a cure, having no human contact closer than a few metres, or by never putting your hands to your face, always washing hands with soap and water or sanitizers after touching anything that other humans have touched, including shopping trolleys, fuel pump handles, money and shaking hands, as well as never being closer than 2 metres from another person. Masks are useless.
COVID-19 is killed by heat and humidity, so it will probably spread more widely in Australia in mid-winter. It loves to be below 6 degrees Celsius.
When it spreads around Australia, schools and day-care will all be closed, events with large gatherings cancelled, and all non-urgent surgery will be cancelled, with those doctors and nurses and beds used for the sick.
Retired doctors and nurses will be urged to report for duty.
People will be asked to stay at home for long periods, roughly 2 to 6 weeks being the duration of the illness.
I do advise to stock up now, on a month’s supply of food, water, cash, toilet paper pet food and medication including paracetamol and all your regular medication.
You may catch the virus in a month from now, or a year or 2, but you will catch it.
Dr Rob Scanlan, M.B.,B.S. (Qld)
Posted in Jim Pola Blog on Tuesday, 03 March 2020 cold Coronoaviruses virus